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Probability Timeline

How AI win probabilities shift across tournament stages. Lines end when teams are eliminated.

Pre-TournamentPost-GroupRound of 32Round of 16Quarter-FinalSemi-FinalFinal0%20%40%60%80%

Group Stage

Initial probabilities adjust based on draw difficulty and form updates.

Round of 32

First knockouts cause major swings — upsets dramatically shift remaining team odds.

Quarter-Finals

Only 8 teams remain. Probabilities concentrate rapidly among contenders.

Final

Two teams share ~100% probability split by the AI's final simulation.